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Oscar® weiners

by John at 2/28/2005 09:11:00 AM

Summary findings of the Third Annual Scientific Oscar® Picks for 2005TM. My prediction is listed first, in red if I was wrong. The actual winner is in parenthesis, if necessary.

Picture: "Sideways" ("Million Dollar Baby")

Actor: Jamie Foxx, "Ray."

Actress: Hilary Swank, "Million Dollar Baby"

Supporting Actor: Thomas Haden Church, “Sideways” (Morgan Freeman, "Million Dollar Baby")

Supporting Actress: Virginia Madsen, “Sideways” (Cate Blanchett, "The Aviator")

Director: Mike Leigh, “Vera Drake” (Clint Eastwood, "Million Dollar Baby")

Adapted Screenplay: Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor, "Sideways."

Original Screenplay: John Logan, “The Aviator” (Charlie Kaufman, Michel Gondry and Pierre Bismuth, "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind")

Art Direction: “The Phantom of the Opera” ("The Aviator")

Cinematography: “The Passion of the Christ” ("The Aviator")

Film Editing: “Million Dollar Baby” ("The Aviator")

Visual Effects: “I, Robot” ("Spider-Man 2")

Sound Mixing: “The Aviator” ("Ray")

Sound Editing: “Spider-Man 2” ("The Incredibles")

Original Score: "Finding Neverland."

Original Song: “Believe” from “The Polar Express” ("Al Otro Lado Del Rio" from "The Motorcycle Diaries")

Costume: "The Aviator"

Makeup: “The Sea Inside” ("Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events")

Foreign Film: “Yesterday” ("The Sea Inside")

Animated Feature: “Shrek 2” ("The Incredibles")

Animated Short: "Ryan"

Documentary Feature: “Super Size Me” ("Born Into Brothels")

Documentary Short: "Mighty Times: The Children's March"

Live Action Short: “7:35 in the Morning ( 7:35 de la Mañana)” ("Wasp")

I was correct on 7 of the 24 categories, which gives me an accuracy of 29.17%. This is well within the predicted accuracy of 22.29% +- 16.43% (95% confidence interval) - another success for Science!
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